Ethanol Market Update - 7/1/25

Liquidity Energy, LLC

August 1, 2025

Overview

Executive Summary

Ethanol production edged up today to 420,175 MMBTU, as utilization rose to 73%. The increase was led by POET Coon Rapids, while POET Fairmont pulled back after yesterday’s strength.

  • Daily Production Change: +4,235 MMBTU

  • Largest Increase in Production: POET Biorefining – Coon Rapids

  • Largest Decrease in Production: POET Fairmont

  • Plants Above Utilization Average: 37

  • Plants Below Utilization Average: 28

  • Percent of Plants Below 2-Year Average: 42%

Market Insight

With today’s total at 420,175 MMBTU, the 7-day rolling average climbs to 415,442 MMBTU. While gains were modest, consistency above the 2-year norm suggests supply-side firmness heading into July.

Production Overview

Metric

Value

Total Ethanol Produced

420,175 MMBTU

7-Day Rolling Avg.

415,442 MMBTU

2-Year Rolling Avg.

386,525 MMBTU

Utilization Rate

73%

Plant-Level Insights

Top Production Gain (Day-over-Day):
• POET Biorefining – Coon Rapids

Top Production Loss (Day-over-Day):
• POET Fairmont

EIA Weekly Estimate

Week Ending

Estimated Production

6/28/2025

1,070,000 barrels/day

Technicals

The Coolidge Report 7-1-25.pdf225.14 KB • PDF File

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Disclaimer

The Coolidge Report is published by Coolidge Shop LLC and is intended for informational purposes only. This report does not constitute trading recommendations, financial advice, or an offer to buy or sell any commodity. While efforts are made to ensure accuracy, Coolidge Shop LLC makes no warranties regarding completeness or reliability. Coolidge Shop LLC is not registered as a Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) with the CFTC, and this report should not be interpreted as a solicitation to engage in futures or derivatives trading.

This article and its contents are provided by Liquidity Energy, LLC ("The Firm") for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any commodity, futures contract, option contract, or other transaction. Although any statements of fact have been obtained from and are based on sources that the Firm believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee their accuracy, and any such information may be incomplete or condensed.

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