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- Ethanol Market Update - 7/14/25
Executive Summary
Production opened the week stable at 407,823 MMBTU, following last Friday’s level nearly to the digit. Utilization held at 71%, with no major directional shift at the plant level. Elite Octane led today’s gainers, while Show Me Ethanol posted the day’s largest pullback.
Daily Production Change: Flat
Largest Increase in Production: Elite Octane – Atlantic
Largest Decrease in Production: Show Me Ethanol
Plants Above Utilization Average: 33
Plants Below Utilization Average: 32
Percent of Plants Below 2-Year Average: 42%
Market Insight
After a firm end to last week, today’s flat print suggests near-term production is plateauing around the 410k MMBTU mark. The 7-day rolling average continues to trend well above the 2-year baseline, pointing to seasonal strength with limited volatility so far in July.
Production Overview
Metric | Value |
|---|---|
Total Ethanol Produced | 407,823 MMBTU |
7-Day Rolling Avg. | ~411,000 MMBTU |
2-Year Rolling Avg. | 386,525 MMBTU |
Utilization Rate | 71% |
Plant-Level Insights
Top Production Gain (Day-over-Day):
• Elite Octane – Atlantic
Top Production Loss (Day-over-Day):
• Show Me Ethanol
EIA Weekly Estimate
Week Ending | Estimated Production | Notes |
|---|---|---|
7/12/2025 | 1.070 million b/d | Estimate based on 7-day average |
Technicals
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