Ethanol Market Update - 7/23/25

Liquidity Energy, LLC

In partnership with

July 31, 2025

Overview

Executive Summary

Production ticked slightly higher today to 412,778 MMBTU, marking the strongest print since July 1st. Utilization improved to 72%, led by a rebound at POET Coon Rapids, while Red Trail Energy saw the biggest single-day pullback.

  • Daily Production Change: +927 MMBTU

  • Largest Increase in Production: POET Biorefining – Coon Rapids

  • Largest Decrease in Production: Red Trail Energy LLC

  • Overall Plant Utilization: 72%

  • Plants Above Utilization Average: 35

  • Plants Below Utilization Average: 30

  • Percent of Plants Below 2-Year Average: 42%

Market Insight

Today’s uptick builds on a solid start to the week and brings output back near early July highs. If this strength holds through midweek, it could firm spot prices further and boost confidence ahead of next week's EIA report.

Production Overview

Metric

Value

Total Ethanol Produced

412,778 MMBTU

7-Day Rolling Avg.

~408,700 MMBTU

2-Year Rolling Avg.

386,525 MMBTU

Utilization Rate

72%

Plant-Level Insights

Top Production Gain (Day-over-Day):
• POET Biorefining – Coon Rapids

Top Production Loss (Day-over-Day):
• Red Trail Energy LLC

EIA Production Estimate – Report Date: 7/23

  • Estimate: 1.078M b/d (issued Monday)

Technicals

Coolidge Report 7-23.pdf228.08 KB • PDF File

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Disclaimer

The Coolidge Report is published by Coolidge Shop LLC and is intended for informational purposes only. This report does not constitute trading recommendations, financial advice, or an offer to buy or sell any commodity. While efforts are made to ensure accuracy, Coolidge Shop LLC makes no warranties regarding completeness or reliability. Coolidge Shop LLC is not registered as a Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) with the CFTC, and this report should not be interpreted as a solicitation to engage in futures or derivatives trading.

This article and its contents are provided by Liquidity Energy, LLC ("The Firm") for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any commodity, futures contract, option contract, or other transaction. Although any statements of fact have been obtained from and are based on sources that the Firm believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee their accuracy, and any such information may be incomplete or condensed.

Commodity trading involves risks, and you should fully understand those risks prior to trading. Liquidity Energy LLC and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of any information contained herein. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed shall be construed as an offer to buy or sell any futures or options on futures contracts. Information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed as to its accuracy. Any opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice, are that of the individual, and not necessarily the opinion of Liquidity Energy LLC

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