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- Ethanol Market Update - 7/25/25
Ethanol Market Update - 7/25/25
Liquidity Energy, LLC

July 31, 2025
Overview
Executive Summary
Production rose to 427,049 MMBTU, marking a second consecutive day of strength and pushing output to the highest level since early May. Utilization climbed to 73%, led by Shell Rock, while Show Me Ethanol posted the largest pullback.
Daily Production Change: +9,572 MMBTU
Largest Increase in Production: POET Biorefining – Shell Rock
Largest Decrease in Production: Show Me Ethanol
Overall Plant Utilization: 73%
Plants Above Utilization Average: 39
Plants Below Utilization Average: 26
Percent of Plants Below 2-Year Average: 42%
Market Insight
Back-to-back strong sessions this week have pushed daily ethanol production to a new summer high. With blending expected to stay firm and no major plant outages reported, next week’s EIA number could reflect another leg higher unless exports surprise to the downside.
Production Overview
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Total Ethanol Produced | 427,049 MMBTU |
7-Day Rolling Avg. | ~417,100 MMBTU |
2-Year Rolling Avg. | 386,525 MMBTU |
Utilization Rate | 73% |
Plant-Level Insights
Top Production Gain (Day-over-Day):
• POET Biorefining – Shell Rock
Top Production Loss (Day-over-Day):
• Show Me Ethanol
EIA Outlook
We’ll issue our EIA Production Estimate for the 7/31 report on Monday, July 29.
Stay tuned — recent strength may push our next estimate higher.
Technicals
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