Ethanol Market Update - 7/25/25

Liquidity Energy, LLC

July 31, 2025

Overview

Executive Summary

Production rose to 427,049 MMBTU, marking a second consecutive day of strength and pushing output to the highest level since early May. Utilization climbed to 73%, led by Shell Rock, while Show Me Ethanol posted the largest pullback.

  • Daily Production Change: +9,572 MMBTU

  • Largest Increase in Production: POET Biorefining – Shell Rock

  • Largest Decrease in Production: Show Me Ethanol

  • Overall Plant Utilization: 73%

  • Plants Above Utilization Average: 39

  • Plants Below Utilization Average: 26

  • Percent of Plants Below 2-Year Average: 42%

Market Insight

Back-to-back strong sessions this week have pushed daily ethanol production to a new summer high. With blending expected to stay firm and no major plant outages reported, next week’s EIA number could reflect another leg higher unless exports surprise to the downside.

Production Overview

Metric

Value

Total Ethanol Produced

427,049 MMBTU

7-Day Rolling Avg.

~417,100 MMBTU

2-Year Rolling Avg.

386,525 MMBTU

Utilization Rate

73%

Plant-Level Insights

Top Production Gain (Day-over-Day):
• POET Biorefining – Shell Rock

Top Production Loss (Day-over-Day):
• Show Me Ethanol

EIA Outlook

We’ll issue our EIA Production Estimate for the 7/31 report on Monday, July 29.
Stay tuned — recent strength may push our next estimate higher.

Technicals

Coolidge Report 7-25.pdf228.15 KB • PDF File

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Disclaimer

The Coolidge Report is published by Coolidge Shop LLC and is intended for informational purposes only. This report does not constitute trading recommendations, financial advice, or an offer to buy or sell any commodity. While efforts are made to ensure accuracy, Coolidge Shop LLC makes no warranties regarding completeness or reliability. Coolidge Shop LLC is not registered as a Commodity Trading Advisor (CTA) with the CFTC, and this report should not be interpreted as a solicitation to engage in futures or derivatives trading.

This article and its contents are provided by Liquidity Energy, LLC ("The Firm") for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any commodity, futures contract, option contract, or other transaction. Although any statements of fact have been obtained from and are based on sources that the Firm believes to be reliable, we do not guarantee their accuracy, and any such information may be incomplete or condensed.

Commodity trading involves risks, and you should fully understand those risks prior to trading. Liquidity Energy LLC and its affiliates assume no liability for the use of any information contained herein. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed shall be construed as an offer to buy or sell any futures or options on futures contracts. Information contained herein was obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not guaranteed as to its accuracy. Any opinions expressed herein are subject to change without notice, are that of the individual, and not necessarily the opinion of Liquidity Energy LLC

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